What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 29 December 2023?

Started Aug 18, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 28 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).

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The question closed "Between 4,535 and 4,805, inclusive" with a closing date of 29 December 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3,455 0%
Between 3,455 and 3,725, inclusive 0%
More than 3,725 but less than 3,995 0%
Between 3,995 and 4,265, inclusive 0%
More than 4,265 but less than 4,535 1%
Between 4,535 and 4,805, inclusive 75%
More than 4,805 but less than 5,075 24%
Between 5,075 and 5,345, inclusive 0%
More than 5,345 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 77
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 769
Average for questions older than 6 months: 556
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.109664
2.
-0.107568
3.
-0.099775
4.
-0.066384
5.
-0.061817

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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