404_NOT_FOUND asks:

Before 26 February 2024, will a NATO member invoke either Article 4 or Article 5 in response to actions taken by Belarus?

Started Aug 25, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 26, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Tensions have risen between Russian ally Belarus and the bordering NATO member states of Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland as the Belarusian military and Wagner Group forces began drills in the west of the country (Guardian, NBC News, Euronews). Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty, which created NATO, states that any member can call for consultations when they believe they are under threat, while Article 5 covers collective defense in the event of an armed attack against a member (NATO - Article 4, NATO - Article 5). Article 4 was last invoked in February 2022 by several NATO member states in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine (CNBC TV18).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 6.77% -0.03% -0.67% +2.49%
No 93.23% +0.03% +0.67% -2.49%

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