How many Republican presidential candidates will participate in person for the second Republican primary debate in 2023?

Started Sep 01, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 27, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The Republican National Committee has reportedly raised the minimum standards for participation in the second presidential primary debate (Politico). The second Republican presidential primary debate is scheduled for 27 September 2023 in Simi Valley, CA (USA Today). If the debate is rescheduled for another date in 2023, then the close date will be rescheduled accordingly. If there is no Republican primary debate in 2023, the question will be voided.

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The question closed "6 or 7" with a closing date of 27 September 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
3 or fewer 0%
4 or 5 1%
6 or 7 98%
8 or 9 1%
10 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 106
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011196
2.
-0.008787
3.
-0.008681
4.
-0.007831
5.
-0.00669

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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