Which NFL quarterback will throw for the most touchdowns in the 2023 regular season?
Closed Jan 07, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using "NFL Player Passing Stats 2023" data as reported by ESPN (ESPN). In the event of a tie, the quarterback who threw for the most yards per game will be considered to have thrown for the most touchdowns, followed by completion percentage (CMP%). The team for which each named quarterback was due to start as of the launch of this question is in parentheses, but the team for whom any quarterback is playing is immaterial to the resolution.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Another quarterback" with a closing date of 7 January 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (KC Chiefs) | 1% | |
| Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) | 1% | |
| Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% | |
| Justin Herbert (LA Chargers) | 0% | |
| Aaron Rodgers (NY Jets) | 0% | |
| Another quarterback | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 36 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 263 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
