Which NFL quarterback will throw for the most touchdowns in the 2023 regular season?

Started Sep 01, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 07, 2024 08:01AM UTC
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The outcome will be determined using "NFL Player Passing Stats 2023" data as reported by ESPN (ESPN). In the event of a tie, the quarterback who threw for the most yards per game will be considered to have thrown for the most touchdowns, followed by completion percentage (CMP%). The team for which each named quarterback was due to start as of the launch of this question is in parentheses, but the team for whom any quarterback is playing is immaterial to the resolution.

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The question closed "Another quarterback" with a closing date of 7 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Patrick Mahomes (KC Chiefs) 1%
Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) 1%
Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) 0%
Justin Herbert (LA Chargers) 0%
Aaron Rodgers (NY Jets) 0%
Another quarterback 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 36
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 263
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.35806
2.
-0.341498
3.
-0.231295
4.
-0.191311
5.
-0.180781

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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