Will the US House of Representatives officially open an impeachment inquiry into President Biden before 1 January 2024?

Started Sep 08, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 12, 2023 03:19PM UTC

House Republicans are reportedly considering opening an impeachment inquiry into President Biden and corruption claims related to family business dealings (The Hill, Politico, CNN). For the purposes of this question, "officially open" means either 1) a vote by the full House to begin an impeachment inquiry, or 2) a public announcement by the Speaker of the House of Representatives that an impeachment inquiry has begun or is beginning (Constitution Center, Congressional Research Service).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 12 September 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 43%
No 57%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 44
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.471
2.
-0.446
3.
-0.371
5.
-0.297

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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