Nonrival asks:

Will the US office vacancy rate in the third quarter of 2023 be 16.5% or higher, according to Colliers?

Started Sep 08, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The US office vacancy rate in the US rose to 16.4% in the second quarter of 2023, higher than its peak of the global financial crisis (16.3%) as the office property market faces a major downturn (Colliers - US Office Market Outlook Q2 2023, The Week). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2023 and the outcome determined using US office vacancy data as first reported by Colliers, expected in the fourth quarter of 2023.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 October 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 80%
No 20%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 29
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 49
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.076574
3.
-0.067117
4.
-0.062552
5.
-0.046396

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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