Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the water level of Panama Canal reservoir Lake Gatun on 1 May 2024?
Closing May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Low water levels of Lake Gatun have led to limits on the use of the Panama Canal, which supports roughly a quarter of a trillion dollars of trade annually (CNBC, AP). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Panama Canal Authority (Panama Canal Authority - Gatun Water Level Indicators, download "Gatun Lake Historical Water Levels (CSV)"). Other data are also available on the Gatun Lake Water Levels dashboard (Panama Canal Authority - Gatun Lake Water Levels Dashboard).
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast||Change in last 24 hours|
|Lower than 72.00 ft||4.00%||-3.00%|
|Between 72.00 ft and 74.00 ft, inclusive||4.00%||-2.00%|
|Higher than 74.00 ft but lower than 76.00 ft||6.00%||-1.00%|
|Between 76.00 ft and 78.00 ft, inclusive||10.00%||-1.00%|
|Higher than 78.00 ft but lower than 80.00 ft||20.00%||+1.00%|
|Between 80.00 ft and 82.00 ft, inclusive||40.00%||+7.00%|
|Higher than 82.00 ft||16.00%||-1.00%|