probahilliby asks:

When will all work stoppages (either strikes or lockouts) involving the United Auto Workers (UAW) union and the "Big Three" US automakers cease?

Started Sep 22, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 30, 2023 10:00PM UTC
Tags

In September 2023, the UAW (officially the "International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America") began targeted strikes against the "Big Three" US automakers (Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, which includes Chrysler) after the expiration of their respective collective bargaining agreements (NBC News, CNBC, Key Differences).

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The question closed "Between 13 October 2023 and 9 November 2023" with a closing date of 30 October 2023. This is due to the return to work by all UAW employees per the UAW and reporting from the Big 3, the last being General Motors.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 29 September 2023 0%
Between 29 September 2023 and 12 October 2023 0%
Between 13 October 2023 and 9 November 2023 87%
Between 10 November 2023 and 21 December 2023 11%
Not before 22 December 2023 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 50
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 239
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.083404
2.
-0.070286
3.
-0.055111
4.
-0.041462
5.
-0.040801

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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