When will North Korea next successfully put a satellite into orbit?
Closed Nov 21, 2023 04:00PM UTC
As of 28 September, North Korea had twice failed in attempts to launch a spy satellite in 2023, but it plans to try again (NPR, AP). North Korea has previously put at least two satellites into orbit (38 North). The purpose and operability of a satellite put into orbit is immaterial.
The question closed "Before 1 January 2024" with a closing date of 21 November 2023.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Before 1 January 2024||41%|
|Between 1 January 2024 and 31 March 2024||17%|
|Between 1 April 2024 and 30 June 2024||19%|
|Not before 1 July 2024||23%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||37|
|Average for questions in their first 3 months: 154|
|Number of Forecasts||107|
|Average for questions in their first 3 months: 345|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|