When will Sweden become a member of NATO?
Started
Sep 29, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 07, 2024 04:30PM UTC
Closed Mar 07, 2024 04:30PM UTC
Challenges
While Sweden submitted its application to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in May 2022, approval from Hungary and Turkey remain obstacles to membership (Al-Monitor, AP, NATO Parliamentary Assembly). The latest country to join NATO was Finland on 4 April 2023 (NATO).
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The question closed "Between 1 January 2024 and 31 March 2024" with a closing date of 7 March 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 January 2024 | 0% | |
| Between 1 January 2024 and 31 March 2024 | 93% | |
| Between 1 April 2024 and 30 June 2024 | 6% | |
| Not before 1 July 2024 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 110 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 577 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
