When will Sweden become a member of NATO?
Started
Sep 29, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
While Sweden submitted its application to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in May 2022, approval from Hungary and Turkey remain obstacles to membership (Al-Monitor, AP, NATO Parliamentary Assembly). The latest country to join NATO was Finland on 4 April 2023 (NATO).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before 1 January 2024 | 10.58% | -1.42% | -2.69% | -12.92% |
Between 1 January 2024 and 31 March 2024 | 43.04% | +5.04% | +3.92% | +12.54% |
Between 1 April 2024 and 30 June 2024 | 28.88% | -3.12% | -2.74% | +7.65% |
Not before 1 July 2024 | 17.50% | -0.50% | +1.50% | -7.27% |