Before 1 October 2024, will the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) execute a military strike within the territory of Iran?

Started Sep 29, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Israel has stated that it would not allow Iran to possess a nuclear weapon, which is widely seen to include a possible military strike by Israel against Iran (ABC News, AP, The National). The geographic origin of and weaponry used in a military strike would be immaterial so long as the weapon detonates or discharges on Iranian territory. A cyberattack alone would not count. Actions not executed by the IDF would not count (e.g., covert assassinations of nuclear scientists). A strike in or over Iranian territorial waters would not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 23.19% +2.24% +0.97% -7.46%
No 76.81% -2.24% -0.97% +7.46%

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