Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 October 2024?

Started Oct 06, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The PRC has continued military activities around Taiwan throughout 2023 (Al Jazeera, Council on Foreign Relations, BBC). A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 10.73% 0% -0.30% +1.79%
No 89.28% 0% +0.30% -1.78%

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