Between 9 October 2023 and 9 July 2024, will the UK or a European Union member state publicly accuse a group or entity the EU lists as a terrorist group or entity of perpetrating an attack within either the UK or EU resulting in at least one fatality?
Started
Oct 08, 2023 11:30PM UTC
Closed Jul 10, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jul 10, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
For the purposes of this question, the groups or entities that the EU lists as a terrorist group or entity are those listed in Council Decision (CFSP) 2023/1514 (EUR-Lex). An attack in the territorial waters or airspace of either the UK or a European Union member state would count. Both the attack and the accusation must occur during the question's open period to count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 10 July 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | |
No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 99 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 183 | |
Number of Forecasts | 457 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 533 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |