Between 9 October 2023 and 9 July 2024, will the UK or a European Union member state publicly accuse a group or entity the EU lists as a terrorist group or entity of perpetrating an attack within either the UK or EU resulting in at least one fatality?

Started Oct 08, 2023 11:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 10, 2024 07:01AM UTC

For the purposes of this question, the groups or entities that the EU lists as a terrorist group or entity are those listed in Council Decision (CFSP) 2023/1514 (EUR-Lex). An attack in the territorial waters or airspace of either the UK or a European Union member state would count. Both the attack and the accusation must occur during the question's open period to count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 10.50% -0.18% +0.32% -7.16%
No 89.50% +0.18% -0.32% +7.16%

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