What will be the closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 13 November 2023?
Closed Nov 13, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Fears are growing that China's troubled property sector may lead to continued problems in its financial system (US News & World Report, Xinhua, Guardian). The question will be suspended on 12 November 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Trading Economics in the US (Trading Economics, set chart to "1Y" and hover cursor over the chart for data). The closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 19 October 2023 was 2.7410%.
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The question closed "Between 2.520% and 2.660%, inclusive" with a closing date of 13 November 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.520% | 2% | |
| Between 2.520% and 2.660%, inclusive | 57% | |
| More than 2.660% but less than 2.800% | 39% | |
| Between 2.800% and 2.940%, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than 2.940% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 104 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 261 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
