Will Representative Dean Phillips cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Democratic nomination for US president before 3 February 2024?

Started Nov 03, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 03, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Minnesota Representative Dean Phillips announced that he would challenge President Biden for the Democratic nomination for president in 2024 (ABC News, Politico). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that Phillips no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that he is fully suspending his campaign.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 February 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 60
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 183
Number of Forecasts 196
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 471
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.077
2.
-0.077
3.
-0.076
4.
-0.076
5.
-0.075

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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