What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 22 November 2023, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

Started Nov 08, 2023 10:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 22, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Average gas prices nationwide fell in October 2023 despite the outbreak of violence in the Middle East, but concerns over energy supplies remain (USA Today). The question will be suspended on 21 November 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 22 November 2023 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).

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The question closed "More than $3.18 but less than $3.33" with a closing date of 22 November 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $3.03 0%
Between $3.03 and $3.18, inclusive 3%
More than $3.18 but less than $3.33 87%
Between $3.33 and $3.48, inclusive 9%
More than $3.48 but less than $3.63 1%
Between $3.63 and $3.78, inclusive 0%
More than $3.78 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 121
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 338
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.129306
2.
-0.11138
3.
-0.109835
4.
-0.098336
5.
-0.086642

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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