When will Nikki Haley surpass either Ron DeSantis or Donald Trump in 2024 Republican presidential nomination support, according to RealClearPolitics?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 11:00PM UTC
Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has been rising slowly but steadily in the race for the Republican nomination (CNN). The question will be suspended on 12 January 2024 if still open and the outcome determined using data as reported by RealClearPolitics' RCP Poll Average for the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination (RealClearPolitics, set to "3M"). Chart data will be accessed for resolution as soon as data for 12 January 2024 are first reported, if necessary. If either DeSantis or Trump ceases to be a candidate for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, the question will close as of the date the candidate ceased.
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The question closed "Between 22 December 2023 and 12 January 2024" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 30 November 2023 | 0% | |
| Between 30 November 2023 and 21 December 2023 | 0% | |
| Between 22 December 2023 and 12 January 2024 | 60% | |
| Not before 13 January 2024 | 40% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 123 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 200 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 543 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 571 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
