The Economist asks:
What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2024?
Closed Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Forecasts for China's economic growth in 2024 have been modest as the country deals with various economic issues, particularly in its property sector (Economist, Yahoo, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in July 2024 (Trading Economics).
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The question closed "Higher by at least 4.0%, but less than 5.5%" with a closing date of 1 July 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Higher by less than 1.0% or lower | 3% | |
| Higher by at least 1.0%, but less than 2.5% | 7% | |
| Higher by at least 2.5%, but less than 4.0% | 16% | |
| Higher by at least 4.0%, but less than 5.5% | 57% | |
| Higher by at least 5.5%, but less than 7.0% | 15% | |
| Higher by 7.0% or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 323 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 200 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 726 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 571 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
