What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 5 March 2024, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
Closed Mar 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Gas prices in the US fell throughout the fall of 2024, but upside risks remain (CNBC, The Hill). The question will be suspended on 4 March 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 5 March 2024 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "More than $3.15 but less than $3.50" with a closing date of 5 March 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $2.00 | 0% | |
| Between $2.00 and $2.45, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $2.45 but less than $2.80 | 0% | |
| Between $2.80 and $3.15, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than $3.15 but less than $3.50 | 96% | |
| Between $3.50 and $3.85, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than $3.85 but less than $4.20 | 0% | |
| Between $4.20 and $4.65, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $4.65 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 74 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 179 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 393 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 463 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
