What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 5 March 2024, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
Started
Nov 24, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Gas prices in the US fell throughout the fall of 2024, but upside risks remain (CNBC, The Hill). The question will be suspended on 4 March 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 5 March 2024 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).
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The question closed "More than $3.15 but less than $3.50" with a closing date of 5 March 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $2.00 | 0% | |
| Between $2.00 and $2.45, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $2.45 but less than $2.80 | 0% | |
| Between $2.80 and $3.15, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than $3.15 but less than $3.50 | 96% | |
| Between $3.50 and $3.85, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than $3.85 but less than $4.20 | 0% | |
| Between $4.20 and $4.65, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $4.65 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 74 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 393 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
