What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 5 March 2024, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

Started Nov 24, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Gas prices in the US fell throughout the fall of 2024, but upside risks remain (CNBC, The Hill). The question will be suspended on 4 March 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 5 March 2024 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).

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The question closed "More than $3.15 but less than $3.50" with a closing date of 5 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.00 0%
Between $2.00 and $2.45, inclusive 0%
More than $2.45 but less than $2.80 0%
Between $2.80 and $3.15, inclusive 2%
More than $3.15 but less than $3.50 96%
Between $3.50 and $3.85, inclusive 2%
More than $3.85 but less than $4.20 0%
Between $4.20 and $4.65, inclusive 0%
More than $4.65 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 74
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 180
Number of Forecasts 393
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 464
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.062024
2.
-0.054798
3.
-0.04665
4.
-0.042872
5.
-0.038645

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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