janverkade asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in?

Started Nov 24, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 23, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The nationalist Freedom Party (PVV) won the most seats in the Dutch general elections held on 22 November 2023, setting the stage for a potentially difficult path to forming a government (aka cabinet) (Politico, AP, Dutch House of Representatives - Cabinet). After the 2017 election, it took parties a then-record 255 days from the election to form a government, with government formation after the 2021 election taking 299 days (Dutch News, Anadolu Agency). A caretaker government will not count, and whether new elections are called is immaterial.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 17 January 2024 0% 0% 0% 0%
Between 17 January 2024 and 26 March 2024 0% 0% 0% 0%
Between 27 March 2024 and 4 June 2024 4.00% -4.00% -12.63% -14.81%
Between 5 June 2024 and 13 August 2024 87.00% +6.00% +22.94% +49.50%
Between 14 August 2024 and 22 October 2024 5.00% -2.00% -4.31% -17.69%
Not before 23 October 2024 4.00% 0% -6.00% -17.00%

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