What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 28 March 2024?

Started Dec 01, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 28, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 27 March 2024 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).

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The question closed "More than 5,175 but less than 5,425" with a closing date of 28 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3,425 0%
Between 3,425 and 3,675, inclusive 0%
More than 3,675 but less than 3,925 0%
Between 3,925 and 4,175, inclusive 0%
More than 4,175 but less than 4,425 0%
Between 4,425 and 4,675, inclusive 0%
More than 4,675 but less than 4,925 1%
Between 4,925 and 5,175, inclusive 14%
More than 5,175 but less than 5,425 83%
Between 5,425 and 5,675, inclusive 2%
More than 5,675 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 85
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 506
Average for questions older than 6 months: 578
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.200892
3.
-0.152647
4.
-0.132936
5.
-0.130816

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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