What will be the spot price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 28 March 2024?

Started Dec 01, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 28, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Oil prices have slipped from highs in the autumn of 2023, but potential OPEC actions and other factors present upside risks (Yahoo). The question will be suspended on 27 March 2024 and the outcome determined using the spot price per barrel per the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in April 2024 (FRED). On 20 November 2023, the spot price for WTI was $78.10.

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The question closed "Between $75.00 and $85.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 28 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $55.00 0%
Between $55.00 and $65.00, inclusive 0%
More than $65.00 but less than $75.00 1%
Between $75.00 and $85.00, inclusive 90%
More than $85.00 but less than $95.00 8%
Between $95.00 and $105.00, inclusive 1%
More than $105.00 but less than $115.00 0%
$115.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 179
Number of Forecasts 356
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 463
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.064752
2.
-0.053752
3.
-0.052612
4.
-0.049461
5.
-0.044667

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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