How many total vehicles will be sold in the US in the first quarter of 2024?

Started Dec 01, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Despite the strikes at the "Big Three" automakers in September and October 2023, US vehicle sales have remained relatively firm (CNN, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2024 and the outcome determined by adding monthly Total Vehicle Sales data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis for January, February, and March 2024 as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) once March 2024 data are first available, expected in April 2024 (FRED).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 3.2 million 3.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Between 3.2 million and 3.5 million, inclusive 8.00% +0.00% -4.32% -6.00%
More than 3.5 million but fewer than 3.8 million 43.00% +0.00% +0.76% +4.00%
Between 3.8 million and 4.1 million, inclusive 39.00% -1.00% +4.24% +13.00%
More than 4.1 million but fewer than 4.4 million 6.00% +0.00% -0.88% -9.00%
4.4 million or more 1.00% +1.00% +0.20% -2.00%

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