How many total vehicles will be sold in the US in the first quarter of 2024?
Closed Apr 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Despite the strikes at the "Big Three" automakers in September and October 2023, US vehicle sales have remained relatively firm (CNN, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2024 and the outcome determined by adding monthly Total Vehicle Sales data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis for January, February, and March 2024 as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) once March 2024 data are first available, expected in April 2024 (FRED).
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The question closed "Between 3.8 million and 4.1 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 April 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 3.2 million | 0% | |
| Between 3.2 million and 3.5 million, inclusive | 4% | |
| More than 3.5 million but fewer than 3.8 million | 50% | |
| Between 3.8 million and 4.1 million, inclusive | 38% | |
| More than 4.1 million but fewer than 4.4 million | 7% | |
| 4.4 million or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 66 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 179 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 217 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 463 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
