Foxes ask:
Who will win the special election for New York's 3rd Congressional District in 2024?
Started
Dec 08, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 13, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Feb 13, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Representative George Santos was expelled from the House of Representatives on 1 December 2023, creating a vacancy to be filled by a special election in early 2024 (CBS News, Politico, CBS New York).
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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 13 February 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| The Democratic Party candidate | 70% | |
| The Republican Party candidate | 29% | |
| Someone else | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 179 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 127 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 463 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
