hollyhock asks:
Who will be sworn in as the next prime minister of the Netherlands?
Closing Nov 23, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The nationalist Freedom Party (PVV) led by Geert Wilders won the most seats in the Dutch general elections held on 22 November 2023, setting the stage for a potentially difficult path to forming a government (aka cabinet) (AP, BBC, Dutch House of Representatives - Cabinet). The appointment of a new caretaker prime minister would not count.
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NOTE 20 February 2024: For the purposes of this question, any person who was on a party's list in the 2023 election is considered to be a member of that party.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geert Wilders of the Freedom Party (PVV) | 0% | -0.14% | 0% | -2.00% |
| Another member of the Freedom Party (PVV) | 13.00% | +1.21% | 0% | -11.00% |
| A member of either the Green Left Party (GL) or Labour Party (PvdA) | 4.00% | +0.64% | -1.00% | +2.00% |
| A member of the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) | 13.00% | +1.86% | -2.00% | -11.00% |
| Someone else | 43.00% | -4.86% | -1.00% | +15.00% |
| No new prime minister will be sworn in before 23 November 2024 or new elections will be called | 27.00% | +1.29% | +4.00% | +7.00% |