Will a UN member state other than the US and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members publicly acknowledge that it executed a military strike from the air or sea against a ground target within the territory of Yemen before 1 March 2024?

Started Dec 15, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 12, 2024 12:50AM UTC

Iran-back Houthi forces in Yemen have repeatedly attacked vessels off the Yemeni coast since war broke out in Gaza (ABC News, US News & World Report, BBC). The GCC is an international body comprised of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (GCC). "Stray" bullets or ordinance that hit an unintended target after being fired would not count. Both the strike and acknowledgement must occur during the question's open period to count, and would close upon the acknowledgement. Targets in territorial waters would not count.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 11 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 69%
No 31%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 54
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 177
Number of Forecasts 113
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 459
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