Will the adopted EU Artificial Intelligence (AI) Act be published in the Official Journal of the European Union before 25 May 2024?

Started Dec 22, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 25, 2024 07:01AM UTC

After years of negotiations between EU institutions and member states, the European Parliament reached a political agreement with the European Council to move the EU AI Act forward toward adoption (European Parliament, The Verge, Politico, European Parliament - Legislative Train Schedule).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 25 May 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 16%
No 84%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 40
Average for questions older than 6 months: 200
Number of Forecasts 196
Average for questions older than 6 months: 571
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.977924
2.
-0.954957
3.
-0.913699
4.
-0.824346
5.
-0.759346

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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