In Fischer v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that 18 U.S.C. § 1512(c), which prohibits obstruction of congressional inquiries and investigations, can be used to prosecute Joseph Fischer for his actions in the riot at the US Capitol on 6 January 2021?

Started Dec 22, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Joseph Fischer and others were charged with crimes for their actions in the riot at the US Capitol Building on 6 January 2021 as Congress was tallying electoral votes, including a criminal charge for violating 18 U.S.C. § 1512(c) that concerns obstruction of congressional inquiries and investigations (SCOTUSblog). The District Court dismissed the charges made under 1512(c) against various defendants, deciding that the statute does not apply to the circumstances in the case (Casetext - US v. Miller (DC Circuit Court of Appeals), Lawfare). The DC Court of Appeals reversed the District Court, and the Supreme Court agreed to hear the case (Lawfare, CBS News). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2023 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No." Any Supreme Court disposition of a case involving Edward Lang or Garret Miller will be immaterial.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 51.21% -0.42% +0.51% -9.06%
No 48.79% +0.41% -0.51% +9.06%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username