Before 1 January 2025, will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of landing military personnel on the Pratas Islands without authorization?
Started
Dec 29, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Taiwan has raised concerns regarding potential actions by the People's Republic of China in the Pratas Islands (News.com.au, Newsweek, Taipei Times).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | |
| No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 66 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 185 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 218 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 537 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
