Will the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) publish a proposed rule that would reschedule marijuana to Schedule III or lower before 18 May 2024?

Started Jan 12, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 18, 2024 07:01AM UTC
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The DEA is reportedly "conducting its review" of whether to reschedule marijuana under the Controlled Substances Act, currently designated Schedule I (Axios, Congressional Research Service, Vangst, DEA - Drug Scheduling). The question would close upon the proposed rule's publication in the Federal Register (Federal Register). Rescheduling to "Schedule III or lower" includes Schedules III, IV, V, or outright descheduling. An interim final rule would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 18 May 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 36%
No 64%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 41
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 174
Number of Forecasts 178
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 451
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.077051
2.
-0.073268
3.
-0.070673
4.
-0.069764
5.
-0.05374

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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