Will Ecuador's current state of exception be extended beyond 60 days?
Closed Mar 07, 2024 08:01AM UTC
On 8 January 2024, Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa declared a state of exception (akin to a state of emergency and sometimes translated as "state of emergency") for 60 days after a prominent gang leader escaped from prison (US News & World Report, MercoPress, Constitution of Ecuador, see Articles 164-166). Violence broke out across the country soon after the declaration (El Universo [in Spanish], France 24). If the decree is canceled or repealed, the question would close "No."
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NOTE 2 February 2024: Because the current state of exception is nationwide, any extension that is not nationwide would not count.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 March 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 96% | |
No | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 42 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 116 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |