Which film will win the 2024 Oscar for Best Actress?

Started Jan 24, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 10, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The 96th Academy Awards, known as the Oscars, are scheduled for 10 March 2024 (Oscars, CBS News). In the event of a tie, the film with the higher box office total through and including 9 March 2024 according to Box Office Mojo would be deemed the winner.

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The question closed "Emma Stone (Poor Things)" with a closing date of 10 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Annette Bening (Nyad) 1%
Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) 56%
Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall) 6%
Carey Mulligan (Maestro) 3%
Emma Stone (Poor Things) 34%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 174
Number of Forecasts 92
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 452
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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