Which film will win the 2024 Oscar for Best Actress?
Started
Jan 24, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 10, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 10, 2024 08:01AM UTC
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The 96th Academy Awards, known as the Oscars, are scheduled for 10 March 2024 (Oscars, CBS News). In the event of a tie, the film with the higher box office total through and including 9 March 2024 according to Box Office Mojo would be deemed the winner.
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The question closed "Emma Stone (Poor Things)" with a closing date of 10 March 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Annette Bening (Nyad) | 1% | |
| Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) | 56% | |
| Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall) | 6% | |
| Carey Mulligan (Maestro) | 3% | |
| Emma Stone (Poor Things) | 34% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 43 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 179 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 92 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 463 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
