In City of Grants Pass v. Johnson, will the Supreme Court rule that the City's enforcement of its ban on public camping against homeless people violated the Eighth Amendment's bar against cruel and unusual punishment?
Closed Jun 28, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Grants Pass, Oregon, adopted various ordinances intended to prohibit people from sleeping or camping outside within city limits, which were challenged in a class action lawsuit filed on behalf of homeless people in the area (Oyez, SCOTUSblog). The district court ruled against the City and Ninth Circuit affirmed (Casetext - Johnson v. City of Grants Pass, Washington State Standard). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2023 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No." If the Court rules that enforcement of the ban could violate the Eighth Amendment but did not as applied to the Respondents (i.e., the named class representatives), the question would close as "No."
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 June 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | |
| No | 86% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 33 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 57 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 464 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |