When will the US publicly announce that it will resume additional funding for the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA)?

Started Jan 29, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 07, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The US and other major UNRWA donors paused funding for the organization after Israel reported evidence that some UNRWA staff were involved in the 7 October attacks against Israel (US State Department, BBC, US News & World Report, CNN, UNRWA - Donor Charts). The exact date of a resumption is immaterial, and a conditional announcement (e.g., if or when UNRWA performs some action in the future) would not count. An announcement of a partial resumption will count.

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The question closed "Not before 7 May 2024" with a closing date of 7 May 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 13 February 2024 0%
Between 13 February 2024 and 4 March 2024 0%
Between 5 March 2024 and 1 April 2024 0%
Between 2 April 2024 and 6 May 2024 5%
Not before 7 May 2024 95%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 67
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 174
Number of Forecasts 223
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 451
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.022133
3.
-0.022133
4.
-0.021433
5.
-0.019739

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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