How many total Supercharger connectors will Tesla report globally for the fourth quarter of 2024?

Started Feb 02, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Tesla's Supercharger network continues to expand as various manufacturer's EVs are set to begin having access to the network in early 2024 (Teslarati, CNET). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using Tesla's official quarterly updates once available, typically found under "Shareholder Deck" here: Tesla - Quarterly Results. Tesla's total number of Supercharger connectors globally as of the fourth quarter of 2023 was 54,892 (Tesla - Q4 2023 Update, see page 7).

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The question closed "More than 64,000 but fewer than 68,000" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 60,000 0%
Between 60,000 and 64,000, inclusive 2%
More than 64,000 but fewer than 68,000 93%
Between 68,000 and 72,000, inclusive 4%
More than 72,000 but fewer than 76,000 1%
76,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 28
Average for questions older than 6 months: 183
Number of Forecasts 205
Average for questions older than 6 months: 533
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.087539
2.
-0.051754
3.
-0.039224
4.
-0.035476
5.
-0.03486

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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