In Trump v. Anderson, how many US Supreme Court Justices will vote that the Colorado Supreme Court erred in ordering Donald Trump excluded from the 2024 presidential primary ballot?

Started Feb 09, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

On 8 February 2024, the US Supreme Court heard oral arguments in Donald Trump's appeal of the Colorado Supreme Court's decision to remove him from the state presidential ballot under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment due to his role in the 6 January 2021 riot at the Capitol Building (C-SPAN - Oral Arguments in Trump v. Anderson, AP, Axios, SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2023 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "0 or 1." The legal bases asserted by a Justice are immaterial. If the opinion of the Court is per curiam, any Justices not named in any concurrence or dissent will be deemed to have voted for the opinion (Cornell - Per Curiam).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
0 or 1 0.14% +0.00% +0.14%
2 or 3 0.61% +0.00% +0.61%
4 5.54% +0.00% +0.54%
5 5.61% +0.00% +1.61%
6 or 7 21.39% +0.00% +2.39%
8 or 9 66.71% +0.00% -5.29%

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