Foxes ask:
How many new electric vehicles (EVs) will be sold in the US in 2024, according to Kelley Blue Book?
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
EV sales hit a new record of nearly 1.2 million in 2023, but higher financing costs, a lack of charging infrastructure, and other issues may blunt further expansion (Cox Automotive, Yahoo). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Kelley Blue Book (KBB), a subsidiary of Cox Automotive, expected in January 2025. On 9 January 2024, KBB reported that 1,189,051 EVs were sold in the US in 2023 (KBB - Q4 2023 Electric Vehicle Sales Report).
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The question closed "At least 1.30 million, but fewer than 1.45 million" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1.15 million | 1% | |
| At least 1.15 million, but fewer than 1.30 million | 45% | |
| At least 1.30 million, but fewer than 1.45 million | 50% | |
| At least 1.45 million, but fewer than 1.60 million | 3% | |
| At least 1.60 million, but fewer than 1.75 million | 1% | |
| 1.75 million or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 34 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 177 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 148 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 519 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
