When will Israel publicly announce or acknowledge that Yahya Sinwar has been captured by Israel, captured by a country that recognizes Israel, or is presumed dead?

Started Feb 23, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 20, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Yahya Sinwar, who headed Hamas in the Gaza Strip during Hamas' attack on Israel, is being sought by Israel as speculation about his whereabouts abounds (Britannica - Yahya Sinwar, NBC News, i24). Israel acknowledging that a friendly country's forces (military or civilian) have captured Sinwar would count, and a "country that recognizes Israel" is one that diplomatically recognizes Israel at the time of capture. Extradition from a country that does not diplomatically recognize Israel to either Israel or a country that does recognize Israel would count upon Sinwar being in the actual custody of the receiving country. A public announcement or acknowledgment that Sinwar is actually dead would count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 23 April 2024 9.36% 0% -0.93% -3.14%
Between 23 April 2024 and 21 June 2024 26.29% 0% +0.65% +5.89%
Between 22 June 2024 and 20 August 2024 17.64% 0% -1.15% +1.64%
Between 21 August 2024 and 19 October 2024 16.79% 0% +1.29% +3.49%
Not before 20 October 2024 29.93% 0% +0.14% -7.87%

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