What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 3 July 2024, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

Started Feb 23, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 03, 2024 07:00AM UTC

Gas prices in the US fell in the final quarter of 2023, but they have begun to climb again for various reasons (CNN, Nerd Wallet, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 2 July 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 3 July 2024 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).

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The question closed "At least $3.45, but less than $3.75" with a closing date of 3 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.25 0%
At least $2.25, but less than $2.55 0%
At least $2.55, but less than $2.85 0%
At least $2.85, but less than $3.15 0%
At least $3.15, but less than $3.45 10%
At least $3.45, but less than $3.75 89%
At least $3.75, but less than $4.05 1%
At least $4.05, but less than $4.35 0%
At least $4.35, but less than $4.65 0%
$4.65 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 171
Number of Forecasts 418
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 444
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.059097
2.
-0.055513
3.
-0.040913
4.
-0.036464
5.
-0.035551

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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