argon1 asks:
How many successful Starship launches will SpaceX perform in 2024?
Started
Feb 28, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
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SpaceX is reportedly preparing for as many as nine Starship launches in 2024, with licensing from the FAA having been a source of delays in the past (Ars Technica, CNBC, SpaceX - Starship). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (Space.com).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two or fewer | 7.80% | 0% | 0% | +0.40% |
| Three or four | 61.20% | +0.90% | +8.30% | +13.70% |
| Five or six | 27.90% | 0% | -3.90% | -8.40% |
| Seven or eight | 2.70% | -0.90% | -4.00% | -5.40% |
| Nine or more | 0.40% | 0% | -0.40% | -0.30% |