What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 28 June 2024?

Started Mar 01, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 28, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 27 June 2024 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).

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The question closed "At least 5,400, but less than 5,650" with a closing date of 28 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3,900 0%
At least 3,900, but less than 4,150 0%
At least 4,150, but less than 4,400 0%
At least 4,400, but less than 4,650 0%
At least 4,650, but less than 4,900 0%
At least 4,900, but less than 5,150 0%
At least 5,150, but less than 5,400 8%
At least 5,400, but less than 5,650 91%
At least 5,650, but less than 5,900 1%
At least 5,900, but less than 6,150 0%
6,150 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 69
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 172
Number of Forecasts 495
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 447
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.113937
2.
-0.094674
3.
-0.094157
4.
-0.089264
5.
-0.063806

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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