What will be the spot price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 28 June 2024?

Started Mar 01, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 28, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Oil prices were approaching $80 per barrel amid continued violence in the Middle East and potential OPEC+ actions (Yahoo). The question will be suspended on 27 June 2024 and the outcome determined using the spot price per barrel per the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in July 2024 (FRED). On 28 June 2023, the spot price for WTI was $69.54.

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The question closed "At least $75.00, but less than $85.00" with a closing date of 28 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $55.00 0%
At least $55.00, but less than $65.00 0%
At least $65.00, but less than $75.00 1%
At least $75.00, but less than $85.00 96%
At least $85.00, but less than $95.00 3%
At least $95.00, but less than $105.00 0%
At least $105.00, but less than $115.00 0%
$115.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 60
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 171
Number of Forecasts 448
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 444
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.060688
3.
-0.057118
4.
-0.041198
5.
-0.036768

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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