What will be the annualized rate of US housing starts for June 2024?

Started Mar 01, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The rate of housing starts, a measure of new home construction in the US, has trended down since April 2022 as interest rates price many potential homebuyers out of the market (US News & World Report, National Association of Realtors). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using data provided by the US Census Bureau as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database for June 2024, expected in July 2024 (FRED). As of the launch of this question, housing starts totaled 1,418 thousand, or 1.418 million, in June 2023.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 1.15 million 4.00% 0% +1.00% +0.90%
At least 1.15 million, but fewer than 1.30 million 19.00% +2.00% +2.00% -3.60%
At least 1.30 million, but fewer than 1.45 million 36.00% +1.00% -1.00% +2.50%
At least 1.45 million, but fewer than 1.60 million 31.00% -1.00% -1.00% +0.90%
At least 1.60 million, but fewer than 1.75 million 9.00% -2.00% -1.00% +1.10%
1.75 million or more 1.00% 0% 0% -1.80%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username