In Trump v. US, will the Supreme Court rule that Donald Trump is immune from prosecution in his appeal from the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia (DC Circuit)?

Started Mar 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

On 28 February 2024, the Supreme Court agreed to hear Trump's appeal (Supremecourt.gov - Trump v. US Docket) from the DC Circuit's decision that he did not have presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for events related to the 6 January 2021 riot at the Capitol Building (SCOTUSblog, CBS News, The Hill, DC Circuit - US v. Trump). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2023 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law as to Trump and the criminal charges in place that gave rise to this case, the question will close as "No." A ruling that Trump has immunity for some, but not all, criminal charges at issue will not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 20.04% -0.04% +0.72% +9.60%
No 79.96% +0.04% -0.72% -9.60%

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