Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state or as otherwise not a part of the Republic of Moldova before 15 December 2024?

Started Mar 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, concerns remain that Russia may foment unrest in Moldova by recognizing Transnistria, a breakaway region in eastern Moldova on Ukraine's western border, which already hosts Russian peacekeepers (Britannica - Transnistria, Deutsche Welle, CNBC, Al Jazeera, European Council on Foreign Relations).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 10.26% -0.04% -2.97% -7.04%
No 89.74% +0.04% +2.97% +7.04%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username