David-Dowd asks:

Which country will win Eurovision 2024?

Started Mar 15, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 11, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The Eurovision Song Contest is a popular competition between countries in Europe (and some beyond) that began in 1956 (Eurovision - Origins). The Grand Final is scheduled to take place on Saturday 11 May 2024 (Eurovision).

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The question closed "Switzerland" with a closing date of 11 May 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Belgium 2%
Croatia 23%
Israel 5%
Italy 9%
Netherlands 11%
Sweden 3%
Switzerland 19%
Ukraine 8%
Another country 19%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 25
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 144
Number of Forecasts 90
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 325
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.633147
2.
-0.188493
3.
-0.188446
4.
-0.138118
5.
-0.133393

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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