Before 20 July 2024, will a Georgia appellate court agree to hear an appeal from Donald Trump and/or any of his codefendants related to the trial court's decision to not disqualify District Attorney Fani Willis and/or not dismiss the criminal indictments against them?

Started Mar 20, 2024 08:30PM UTC
Closed May 08, 2024 02:00PM UTC

On 20 March 2024, Georgia Judge Scott McAfee ruled that defendants could appeal his decision to not disqualify Willis and leave the criminal indictments in place after he decided that Willis could proceed with the prosecution so long as now-former special prosecutor Nathan Wade withdrew from the case (AP, The Hill, ABC News). Either the Georgia Court of Appeals or the Georgia Supreme Court agreeing to hear an appeal would count, and the question would close early upon all available state appeals being denied and exhausted. The disposition of any appeal heard by a Georgia appellate court is immaterial.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 8 May 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 56%
No 44%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 53
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 144
Number of Forecasts 74
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 325
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.227361
2.
-0.223778
3.
-0.216047
4.
-0.211761
5.
-0.209876

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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