ALabinsky asks:

Will Deutsche Bahn announce an agreement to sell its subsidiary DB Schenker before 1 January 2025?

Started Mar 22, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

In December 2023, Deutsche Bahn, Germany's state-owned national rail operator, announced that it would try to sell its logistics unit, DB Schenker (US News & World Report, Deutsche Bahn - DB Schenker Logistics, DW). Deutsche Bahn is reportedly looking to sign a contract for the sale in the second half of 2024 (Yahoo). In the event that a new entity or joint venture agrees to buy DB Schenker, it would be considered acquired by the entity listed as an answer if that entity or its subsidiary owns a controlling share (i.e., more than 50%) of the acquiring entity. If two or more UAE entities have a controlling share combined, the question will close "Yes, a UAE entity or entities (e.g., DP World, Abu Dhabi Ports)." Acquisition by a wholly-owned subsidiary of an entity listed would count for that entity. Whether the transaction is completed is immaterial. The question will close early if Deutsche Bahn officially announces that it is no longer going to sell DB Schenker.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes, to DSV A/S 17.20% -1.20% -0.40% +1.50%
Yes, to Maersk (A.P. Moller - Maersk A/S) 18.00% +1.20% +2.10% +11.80%
Yes, to MSC (Mediterranean Shipping Company) 0.50% -0.50% -1.30% -1.80%
Yes, to a UAE entity or entities (e.g., DP World, Abu Dhabi Ports) 6.50% -2.30% -2.70% -6.10%
Yes, to UPS (United Parcel Service, Inc.) 0.50% -0.70% -0.80% -0.30%
Yes, to another entity or entities 28.50% +2.60% +4.00% +16.20%
No 28.80% +0.90% -0.90% -21.30%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username